In early February, I wrote an article discussing how some spring training stats can mean something
and may give an advantage heading into fantasy baseball drafts. This weekend is one of the busiest and last fantasy baseball draft weekends of the season, so it's a good time to take a look at one aspect from that article and present potential breakout players, according to Jon Dewan's Spring Training Slugging Percentage Indicator.
As outlined in the mentioned article, the criteria for finding these players is rather simple. Given 40 or more spring training at-bats, if a player
with at least 200 career major league at-bats posts a slugging
percentage at least 200 points higher than his career slugging percentage, he is poised for a breakout year.
This group of players fit perfectly into the criteria as of the end of play on Wednesday March 23rd
This method has successfully predicted breakout seasons for hitters at a 60 percent
rate over the past six seasons. A 60 percent rate may not
sound too special, but many other methods for projecting the outcome of player performance at season's end usually sit closer to
30 percent. It's worth noting the above names if you are looking to take a flier at the end of the draft, or simply want a reason to go an extra dollar on a guy when the bidding stalls in an auction draft.