Baseball Press presents "The 606", a look at the most intriguing pitching matchup of the day, with a final prediction of the winning pitcher. You may be asking yourself "What exactly does The 606 mean? There's no major league baseball for that area code- it's in Eastern Kentucky!" BBP isn't listing players from Eastern Kentucky either. The 606 is short for 60 feet and 6 inches. If you still don't understand, I direct your attention to Official Rule 1.07 from Major League Baseball, referring to the distance from the pitching mound to home plate. Now that we've got that squared away, let's take a look at today's featured pitching matchup for Wednesday, July 21th.
Yesterday's 606 had a much better outing than the previous two days. Mr. Jair Jurrjens backed-up his strong return from the disabled list with another fine outing, holding the Padres to just one earned run, which came on a home run from Chris Denorfia. Since returning from the DL, Jurrjens has allowed just six earned runs in 24 2/3 innings.
Win: Jair Jurrjens (7 IP, 5 H, 1 ER, 3 BB, 7 K, 1.14 WHIP)
The 606 Season-to-Date Record (W-L-ND): 87-75-50, 3.83 ERA (557 ER in 1310.1 IP)
Today on the 606, we travel to Cincinnati where a phenom fireballer takes on a Reds team who is fighting for fist place within the NL Central division. The Nationals will look to their future ace in order to stop a three-game losing streak, while the Reds look for their ace to keep them close to St. Louis Cardinals.
RHP Stephen Strasburg - WSH (4-2, 2.03 ERA) vs. RHP Bronson Arroyo - CIN (10-4, 3.96 ERA)
Prior to his last wins on July 9th and 16th against the San Francisco Giants and Florida Marlins, the rookie phenom Stephen Strasburg hadn't won a game since his second MLB start against the Cleveland Indians on June 13th. Now that's not to say that Strasburg hasn't pitched well during that time (a 2.59 ERA, 0 home runs, 31/5 K/BB ratio over 24 1/3 innings), but Strasburg just hasn't gotten the run support needed for any pitcher to be successful. For the season, Strasburg's run support per game sits at 4.2, with the MLB average being 4.5, which is simply too much for any young pitcher to overcome during his first few starts. Regardless of the run support, Strasburg continues to get the job done - posting a 2-0 record with a 1.59 ERA and a 10.6 K/9 ratio during his last three outings. On the road this season, Strasburg has posted a record of 2-1 with a 2.04 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, and a 11.2 K/9 ratio.
Over his last ten starts, Bronson Arroyo is 6-2 with a 3.18 ERA including an eight-inning outing against the Washington Nationals back on June 6th, in which he allowed just two earned runs, but would take a no decision during that start. Bronson has been on fire during the month of July to this point winning all of his starts, posting a 3-0 record with a 1.29 ERA and a 0.81 WHIP. At home this season, Arroyo is 4-2 with a 4.01 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP. During seven career starts against the Nats, Arroyo is 3-1 with a 3.16 ERA, including a two-hit complete game shutout which he tossed last season. Slugger Adam Dunn has struggled with Bronson during his small sample size of eight-career at-bats, posting a .125 AVG (1 for 8) with 0 home runs and 4 strikeouts.
Final Prediction: Bronson Arroyo